Estrange has three wins in her last five starts, and her Group 3 success at Carlisle last month — where she asserted just enough off a slow pace — underlines her class at the top level; she handles this ground and holds a clear edge on our ratings. Thundering On is the chief danger: a dominant Group 1 winner at Epsom three weeks ago who showed a sharp burst of acceleration there, with quicker ground the single untested variable. Red Letter and Qilin Queen complete the dangers, both reliable and proven at this level. Estrange is our selection.