Nepal won a handicap overseas before running well below his level at Listed grade; a wind operation, a new yard, and first-time cheekpieces accompany a considerable drop in class, giving him every opportunity to show his true ability here. Midnight Strike, also stepping down in class and carrying headgear changes, is the most credible rival. Catton Lady performed with credit at this course last time and is respected, but she has a little to find on these terms and the sounder ground than she ideally prefers is an additional query. Nepal is our selection.