Our selection is Bintola, favoured over the pair rated above her for a progressive profile that reads better than the bare figures suggest. In a wide-open field of twelve, we think her form and fitness give her a real chance of taking this. Sir Alfie, Under The Twilight and An Outlaw's Grace head the list of dangers and any of them could easily turn the tables, so this is only a moderate-confidence verdict in a race with plenty of alternatives. Bintola remains our pick on balance.