Eskimo Pie is preferred here despite sitting two pounds behind Lady Roxby, with a progressive profile and fitness edge making up that narrow deficit against the top-rated runner. Lady Roxby remains the chief threat on raw merit, while Tarot — on the same rating as our selection — and Shallow, just a pound adrift, will ensure this six-furlong Kempton heat is no formality. The dangers are real, and confidence is tempered accordingly, but the trajectory of Eskimo Pie's recent form points to a performance capable of overturning the small rating gap. Eskimo Pie is the selection.