Caballo de Guerra gets the nod at Carlisle, with a fitness edge and a progressive profile marking him out as the one to be on, even though he sits 4 lb behind the top-rated Bertie's Ballet on our figures. That rival is the main danger, narrowly ahead on paper and clearly capable of reversing the placings if the fitness question goes his way. Sytadel is on the same rating as our selection and cannot be dismissed, while Bel Amigo is only 2 lb adrift and sits in the picture too. Caballo de Guerra's improving profile makes him the call over 17 furlongs.