Franciscan Rock is our selection, clear at the head of this smaller field on our figures despite a recent sequence without a win. Tonaghneave Well, Charlie Luciano and Scalpnagoon are the chief dangers, each within a workable range and capable of testing the selection if the form falls their way. The suspicion is that Franciscan Rock simply has more raw ability than this field can call upon, even allowing for the mixed recent finishes. Confidence in the selection is high.