Patrol heads our figures in this Class 4 staying event on 87, though the margin over his three principal rivals is slender. Hengest is only 2 lb behind on 85, with Masterinthewoods and Primo Lara a further pound back on 84 apiece, so this looks a competitive heat rather than a formality. Patrol's rating edge and the depth of his recent form nevertheless make him our selection, with a moderate degree of confidence given how tightly matched the leading group is.