Nascent Star is preferred over the top-rated Tallahassee Lassie on the strength of a progressive profile that the clock has consistently backed up, suggesting there is more to come from this runner at a track and trip that suits. Tallahassee Lassie holds a narrow ratings edge and cannot be dismissed, while Najmet Minzaal and Kochella are capable of making life difficult if either finds their best form on the night. The selection's upward trajectory gives reasonable confidence that the bare figures do not yet tell the full story. **Nascent Star** is the pick.