Le Malin holds a progressive profile that makes a compelling case despite sitting four pounds behind the top-rated Collingham, and over an extended trip of twenty-four furlongs on good ground at Perth there is every reason to expect that upward curve to continue. Collingham remains the most obvious danger on ratings and must be respected, while Shantou Show and Button Rock could make their presence felt if either runs to form on the day. The confidence level is modest given the competitive nature of this Class 5 contest, but the progressive profile is the decisive factor. The selection is Le Malin.