Rodeo Blues arrives here on a progressive profile that makes the bare ratings slightly misleading, and a fitness edge over some of these rivals could prove decisive over this twelve-furlong trip at Tramore on good ground. Sunrush heads the field on ratings, narrowly ahead of Maxminelli and Love Orchid, and all three must be respected as the chief dangers, particularly Sunrush whose ceiling may yet be higher than the current gap suggests. The confidence here is modest, and this is a race where the market could be turned upside down, but the case for our selection rests on trajectory rather than a snapshot number. Rodeo Blues is the pick.