Laurie Blue rates narrowly behind Premier Rogue on these figures but is preferred on the strength of a progressive profile and a perceived fitness edge, which can count for plenty in a big field over this testing seventeen-furlong trip at Bellewstown. Premier Rogue remains the obvious threat as the top-rated runner and cannot be dismissed, while Mc Swagger and Tropical Twist are also respected in a competitive seventeen-runner heat on good ground. On balance, a horse continuing to improve and hitting this race in fine order looks the value call, and the selection is Laurie Blue.