46 races across 6 meetings: Fairyhouse, Ffos Las, Hamilton, Leicester, Listowel and Wolverhampton.
Best Bets
beaten 2.5L off 65 in September. Proven on the ground, Proven at the trip, Course winner, Won last time, and young enough to improve, Significant booking, Run style suits this track
10lb below its flat winning mark of 61 back in June 2025. won by 2.75L (~4.8lb) and escapes a penalty — 4.8lb in hand
won by 16L (~24lb), raised 2lb — 22lb in hand. beaten 2.5L off 58 in June 2025
15lb below its flat winning mark of 68 back in August 2025. beaten 2.5L off 53 in September
5lb below its flat winning mark of 65 back in September 2025. Proven on the ground, Proven at the trip, Drops a grade after a good run, Significant booking
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Fairyhouse
CUDAWUDASHUDA at 5/1, G. M. Lyons and Colin Keane, looks the one to be on. He was staying on at the finish last time, wears headgear for the first time and is back quickly, ran 4 days ago.
The dangers are TIO JOAO at 10/1 (back quickly) and CLOUGHLEAGH BRIDGE at 25/1 (staying on last time).
ALMEIYDA at 9/2, D K Weld and Donagh O'Connor, is the one I make it. He has already run to within touching distance off this sort of figure, beaten 1L off 77 on 28 July and wears headgear for the first time.
The dangers are NAUTIC STAR at 13/2 (went close off this mark) and PALACE FEVER at 40/1 (in first-time headgear).
RAPPELL at 11/1, Paul W Flynn and J M Sheridan, looks the most likely of these. He races off a mark 4lb below the 68 it won from back in September 2025 and knows how to win round here.
The dangers are LOINGSEOIR at 12/1 (a course winner) and NAOI at 15/2 (from a yard in form).
GLORY TO BE at 14/1, M C Grassick and W. M. Lordan, just about gets the nod. He has won here, handles the ground, with a win from 6 on it and gets a trip he has won over.
The dangers are BELLA COLOMBIA at 8/1 (from a yard in form) and BACK DOWN UNDER at 13/2 (well handicapped).
NAIL HOUSE at 14/1, Joseph Patrick O'Brien and J M Sheridan, just about gets the nod. He has already won around this track, handles the ground, with a win from 3 on it and gets a trip he has won over.
The dangers are THE SCALLIONATOR at 14/1 (won with plenty in hand) and LIVENKA at 9/4 (a course winner).
BOLD COMMANDER at 5/1, Aidan O'Brien and R. P. Whelan, looks the most likely of these. He wears headgear for the first time and is back quickly, ran 4 days ago.
The dangers are LILY BEAR at 14/1 (back quickly) and OCEAN SURGE at 5/1 (from a yard in form).
BUNDLE OF INTEREST at 13/2, W. McCreery and W. J. Lee, just about gets the nod. He races off a mark 1lb below the 69 it won off and wears headgear for the first time.
The dangers are NOUVEL ESPOIR at 11/2 (went close off this mark) and AMANIRENAS at 50/1 (a course winner).
Ffos Las
MAXIMUS MERIDIUS at 13/2, David Loughnane with Toby Moore taking off 7lb, just about gets the nod. He went close off this sort of rating, beaten 1.75L off 70 (1lb higher than today) on 29 August and was staying on at the finish last time.
The one worry is yard out of form.
BEECHWOOD GLORY rates higher on our figures but is passed over on the ground — never run on soft or heavy in 4 starts — and today is heavy.
Non-runners: Fast Performer.
A tricky one to unpick — most of these have barely been seen, so the stable and the booking matter more than the figures.
GILDED CALL gets the vote at 8/1 for Brian Meehan, ridden by Tom Marquand. Brian Meehan is running at 21% over the past fortnight.
The dangers are ONGOMBO at 10/11 and REDDY at 15/8.
CONNIE'S ROSE at 7/2, Grace Harris and Oisin Murphy, is the bet, and this is the profile the whole thing is built around. He races off a mark 5lb below the 65 it won from back in September 2025 and drops in grade after running 3rd in a Class 5, beaten 6.25L, drops to Class 6.
The dangers are HAPPIER at 13/8 (a course winner) and SON OF ASTAR at 10/3 (a course winner).
FLASH BARDOT at 25/1, Henrietta C Knight and Callum Hutchinson, looks the most likely of these. He handles the ground, with a win from 5 on it.
The one worry is weakened last time and long time without a win.
FEELIN' FREE rates higher on our figures but is passed over — won last time, and there is no comparable mark in this code to judge the rise.
Non-runners: Sharp Move.
LUCKY RADAR at 8/13, Rod Millman and Oisin Murphy, just about gets the nod. He was staying on at the finish last time and has a telling booking — upgrade from a 10% rider to 18%.
The one worry is yard out of form.
One to be careful with: none of these has won or been placed on this ground.
BEAMING LIGHT at 5/2, David Loughnane and Oisin Murphy, gets the vote, and it is the kind of race we wait for. He races off a mark 10lb below the 61 it won from back in June 2025 and has already won around this track.
The one worry is run style against this track and yard out of form.
The dangers are SCARFO at 4/1 (staying on last time) and EQUION at 7/1.
KING OF THE DANCE at 10/1, Bernard Llewellyn and David Probert, makes most appeal. He races off a mark 2lb below the 52 it won off, gets a trip he has won over and has a telling booking — a rider who has won on it before returns.
WHITELEY WAY rates higher on our figures but is passed over — won last time off 51 and runs off 55 — up 4lb.
The main danger is AJRAD at 12/1 (well handicapped).
ZAMBEZI MAGIC at 4/1, Bernard Llewellyn with Charlie Tucker taking off 7lb, is the one I want to be on here. He won by 16 lengths and was raised only 2lb for it, leaving 22lb in hand and has won here 6 times.
The dangers are CITY ESCAPE at 9/1 (a course winner) and ADRIAN at 11/2 (went close off this mark).
Hamilton
HOSTELRY at 3/1, Ruth Carr and Warren Fentiman, is the standout, and this is exactly the sort of race to find one. He races off a mark 15lb below the 68 it won from back in August 2025, has already won round this track twice and was staying on at the finish last time.
The one worry is run style against this track.
The dangers are LITTLE TED at 11/4 (well handicapped) and TOY SOLDIER at 14/1 (well handicapped).
A hard race to weigh up with most of these unexposed, so the yard and the booking count for more than the form book.
BY JOVE GRACE gets the vote at 4/5 for Richard & Peter Fahey, ridden by Warren Fentiman. The market makes it favourite.
The dangers are KUMHARAS at 10/3 and MRS BLUE at 11/2.
SPANISH HUSTLE at 9/1, Jim Goldie and Paul Mulrennan, is the bet, and this is the profile the whole thing is built around. He races off a mark 9lb below the 73 it won from back in July 2025, has won here 6 times and was staying on at the finish last time.
The dangers are NORTHERN BRAVE at 13/2 (on a falling mark) and UNCHARTEDTERRITORY at 13/2 (went close off this mark).
SIR YOSHI at 13/2, Geoffrey Harker with Jake Dickson taking off 5lb, looks the pick of these. He has had 2 of his last 4 starts on the wrong ground and his mark is 3lb lower for it and wears headgear for the first time.
The dangers are LITTLE MI MI at 9/2 (a course winner) and MONTEZUMA at 13/2 (went close off this mark).
Non-runners: Germanic.
THORNABY PEARL at 4/1, Adrian Nicholls with Jake Dickson taking off 5lb, gets the vote. He is a twice-winner over this course, handles the ground, with 3 wins from 12 on it and gets a trip he has won over.
TANJEN rates higher on our figures but is passed over on the ground — never run on soft or heavy in 20 starts — and today is soft.
The dangers are THISTLE NIL at 18/1 (a course winner) and ASHEN at 9/2 (went close off this mark).
ABDUCTION at 13/2, Jim Goldie with Jake Dickson taking off 5lb, is the standout, and this is exactly the sort of race to find one. He races off a mark 6lb below the 80 it won from back in August 2025 and has already won around this track.
The risk is BELSITO, the only confirmed front-runner here — front-runners at this track win 2.2 times their share of these races, and an uncontested lead could be decisive.
CITY CAPTAIN rates higher on our figures but is passed over — won last time off 78 and runs off 82 — up 4lb.
The dangers are BELSITO at 6/1 (a course winner) and NATIVE HONEY at 20/1 (went close off this mark).
BAY BREEZE is the only confirmed front-runner — and this is a track where that matters: front-runners here win 2.2 times their share of these races. An uncontested lead could be decisive.
BAY BREEZE at 5/1, Tim Easterby and David Allan, is the standout, and this is exactly the sort of race to find one. He races off a mark 9lb below the 67 it won from back in May 2025, handles the ground, with 5 wins from 14 on it and gets a trip he has won over.
IMPRESSOR rates higher on our figures but has been set aside by hand — He won at Hamilton the day before and is declared again 24 hours later off the same mark. A quick turnaround like that is usually taken out on the morning, and a horse we expect to be withdrawn is not one to advise.
The dangers are IMPRESSOR at 7/2 (a course winner) and WINTER CROWN at 9/1 (well handicapped).
Non-runners: Cape Sovereign.
Leicester
Q T BOY at 11/4, David Evans and William Carson, is the one I make it. He won by 2.75 lengths and escapes a penalty, leaving 4.8lb in hand, should be suited by the ground and gets a trip he has won over.
The dangers are PEQUENITA at 5/2 (went close off this mark) and AGITATOR at 18/1.
SHEER BEAUTY at 20/1, Julia & Shelley Birkett and Dylan Hogan, looks the pick of these. He drops in grade after running 3rd in a Class 4, beaten 1L, drops to Class 5 and should be suited by the ground.
BLADEY LADY rates higher on our figures but is passed over — won its last two off 53 and runs off 57 — up 4lb.
The dangers are SOEUR DE FLASH at 9/2 (staying on last time) and ARABICA QUEEN at 25/1 (well handicapped).
A hard race to weigh up with most of these unexposed, so the yard and the booking count for more than the form book.
WARRIOR KNIGHT gets the vote at 9/4 for Andrew Balding, ridden by Rob Hornby. Andrew Balding is running at 19% over the past fortnight, and the market makes it favourite.
The dangers are ZAEER AL LEITH at 10/3 and ESCALATE at 10/3.
WADOODA at 11/8, Owen Burrows and Callum Rodriguez, is the one I make it. He drops in grade after running 2nd in a Class 2, beaten 1.25L, drops to Class 3 and was staying on at the finish last time.
The one worry is long absence.
MUMAYAZ at 11/2, Tony Carroll and William Carson, is the one I want to be on here. He won by 2.5 lengths and escapes a penalty, leaving 6.3lb in hand and knows how to win round here.
The one worry is wrong side of the draw and yard out of form.
The dangers are DIAMONDINTHEDARK at 15/2 (went close off this mark) and MAID IN DEVON at 8/1.
BEARIN UP at 6/1, Tim Easterby and Sean Kirrane, is the one I would side with. He went close off this sort of rating, beaten 1.5L off 76 on 27 June and was staying on at the finish last time.
The dangers are TAMZAN at 8/1 (a course winner) and MAGNATURA at 20/1 (well handicapped).
CLASINA at 25/1, John Berry with Molly Keegan-Price taking off 7lb, makes most appeal. He was only just denied off a similar mark, beaten 0.5L off 58 on 2 June 2025, handles the ground, with a win from 5 on it and gets a trip he has won over.
The dangers are MIDNIGHT'S DREAM at 7/2 (a course winner) and SIR DAVID at 14/1 (well handicapped).
Listowel
Hard to be confident with this many unexposed, so the yard and the jockey are doing most of the talking.
DAWNMORE gets the vote at 2/1 for J S Bolger, ridden by Seamie Heffernan. The market makes it favourite.
The dangers are WILLIAMSBURG at 5/2 and MAGNA VICTORIA at 10/3.
SUMMER SNOW at 20/1, Peter Lawlor with Patrick McGettigan taking off 5lb, is the one — exactly the sort of race we are looking for. He races off a mark 15lb below the 81 it won from back in July 2025, handles the ground, with 4 wins from 15 on it and gets a trip he has won over.
The dangers are FAOLADH at 9/1 (back quickly) and BRAINS at 25/1 (well handicapped).
CASAMORATI at 11/2, Joseph Patrick O'Brien with Julian Pietropaolo taking off 7lb, looks the one to be on. He went close off this sort of rating, beaten 0.3L off 70 on 31 July.
DRAGON OF MALTA at 7/1, P F O'Donnell with Julian Pietropaolo taking off 7lb, is the one I make it. He won by 5 lengths and was raised only 7lb for it, leaving 3lb in hand and has won here 3 times.
GREAT MOVER rates higher on our figures but is passed over on the ground — every win (1) has come on soft or heavy — and today is good.
The dangers are EXPOUND at 22/1 (well handicapped) and RED AUTUMN at 12/1.
CANON LAW at 18/1, Brendan W Duke with Reese Holohan taking off 7lb, is the one I make it. He should be suited by the ground.
PRIORSTOWN rates higher on our figures but is passed over — won last time off 59 and runs off 64 — up 5lb.
The main danger is RODEO BLUES at 11/2.
DAY TRADER at 17/2, A. J. Martin and Shane Foley, makes most appeal. He knows how to win round here and was staying on at the finish last time.
DABOYA rates higher on our figures but is passed over — won last time, and there is no comparable mark in this code to judge the rise.
The dangers are HANDANI at 5/2 (won with plenty in hand) and OBSCENITY at 15/2.
GATSBY GREY at 66/1, Oliver McKiernan and Diego Lima, just about gets the nod. He was not given a hard time of it last time and wears headgear for the first time.
The one worry is long time without a win.
SHIRZAN rates higher on our figures but is passed over on the ground — every win (1) has come on soft or heavy — and today is good.
The dangers are PLACE YOUR REGRETS at 100/1 (back quickly) and BALLYBAWN BELTER at 7/1.
LIBERATED LIGHT at 12/1, John E & Thomas Kiely with Conor Cusack taking off 7lb, is the one I want to be on here. He has had 3 of his last 4 starts on the wrong trip and ground, back to 14f today where he wins and his mark is 5lb lower for it and was staying on at the finish last time.
The dangers are MISS AUSTRALIE at 10/1 (staying on last time) and L'UN DEUX TROIS at 22/1 (on a falling mark).
Wolverhampton
LOOK BACK SMILING at 5/1, Neil Mulholland and Donagh Murphy, is one I have taken on myself here. He has already run to within touching distance off this sort of figure, beaten 0.5L off 64 (1lb higher than today) on 8 July and handles the ground, with a win from 13 on it.
The one worry is run style against this track and long time without a win.
The dangers are THE ANTHONY GOVER at 5/2 (a course winner) and VOLTO DI MEDUSA at 11/1 (went close off this mark).
JACK LANGLEY at 19/10, Charlie Clover and Jack Callan, is the one I would side with. He ran a big race off much the same mark, beaten 0.25L off 65 on 4 July, handles the ground, with 3 wins from 12 on it and has a telling booking — a rider who has won on it before returns.
The main danger is KINGDOM OF STARS at 3/1 (well handicapped).
CHIANTI at 9/4, Archie Watson and Luke Morris, is the one I make it. He went close off this sort of rating, beaten 0.1L off 61 on 7 September, wears headgear for the first time and has the right side of the draw.
The dangers are EL LAMBO at 28/1 (well drawn) and LADY OF HAY at 4/1 (went close off this mark).
Little to separate them on form because most are unexposed, so it comes down to the yard and the booking.
ALJOON gets the vote at 5/2 for Jack Jones, ridden by Luke Morris. Jack Jones is running at 38% over the past fortnight.
The dangers are PIGEON PETE at 9/4 and REICHENBACH FALLS at 5/2.
BARRY THE WORM at 4/1, Edward Smyth-Osbourne and Alistair Rawlinson, gets the vote. He races off a mark 7lb below the 57 it won from back in November 2025, has a course win to his name and was staying on at the finish last time.
The one worry is run style against this track.
The dangers are CUBAN FIESTA at 3/1 (well handicapped) and FASTER BEE at 14/1 (a course winner).
DISTILLATION at 3/1, Mark Usher with Rose Dawes taking off 5lb, looks the one to be on. He knows how to win round here and is back quickly, ran 3 days ago.
The dangers are BUNGLE BAY at 6/1 (a course winner) and BASED at 5/1 (a course winner).
ESPANITA at 10/3, Charlie Johnston and Callum Shepherd, is the one I keep coming back to. He is a twice-winner over this course and won last time out.
The dangers are AMERICAN STATE at 7/2 (a course winner) and LILI MARLEEN at 66/1 (from a yard in form).
FOREVER PERFECT at 25/1, Rebecca Menzies and Kaiya Fraser, is the one I would be with. He has had 2 of his last 4 starts on the wrong trip and ground, back to 12f today where he wins and his mark is 4lb lower for it and has already won around this track.
The one worry is run style against this track.
SATYRESS rates higher on our figures but is passed over — won its last four — a 4-timer, and the handicapper has had 4 goes at it.
The dangers are ARLECCHINO'S REX at 8/1 (a course winner) and IT'S A LOVE THING at 16/1 (a course winner).
TRUST SERGEI at 9/2, Gary Hanmer and Jonny Peate, looks the pick of these. He won by 1.25 lengths and escapes a penalty, leaving 3.1lb in hand and has already won round this track 3 times.
The dangers are DAYTONA LADY at 20/1 (a course winner) and MARCH OF TIME at 8/1 (went close off this mark).
Non-runners: Court Alert.