22 races across 3 meetings: Carlisle, Punchestown and Stratford.
Best Bets
beaten 1.5L off 108 (1lb higher than today) in October. Proven on the ground, Proven at the trip, Finishing well last time, First-time headgear
Yard in form
Tried once on this ground, Significant booking, Yard in form. Long time without a win: 6 runs and 25 months since it won
beaten 1.5L off 86 in October. Proven on the ground
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Carlisle
DILRISK at 66/1, Nicky Richards with Jack Power taking off 5lb, is the one I would side with. He comes from a yard in good heart at 33%.
TYSON FURY rates higher on our figures but is passed over — won last time, and there is no comparable mark in this code to judge the rise.
The dangers are MASTER JACK at 250/1 (staying on last time) and BLUE SWEEPER at 12/1 (in first-time headgear).
Non-runners: Jackson Court.
Each-way is the way in at 66/1, 3 places at 1/5.
HELLO JUDGE at 5/4, Ann Hamilton and Brian Hughes, is the one I would side with. He is a 6 times-winner over this course, handles the ground, with 2 wins from 6 on it and gets a trip he has won over.
PARISENCORE rates higher on our figures but is passed over — won last time off 125 and runs off 129 — up 4lb.
The main danger is DUBAI DAYS at 8/1 (a course winner).
Non-runners: Ned Tanner.
DIAMOND WHITE at 9/4, Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill and Jonjo O'Neill Jr., gets the vote. He won last time out, should be suited by the ground and gets a trip he has won over.
The dangers are WHIN COVER at 17/2 (in first-time headgear) and DIAMOND JIM at 10/1 (staying on last time).
A hard race to weigh up with most of these unexposed, so the yard and the booking count for more than the form book.
BE AWARE gets the vote at 6/4 for Dan Skelton, ridden by Tristan Durrell. Dan Skelton is running at 22% over the past fortnight, and the market makes it favourite.
The dangers are CRISTAL D'ESTRUVAL at 4/6 and ALL THE GLORY at 20/1.
PADDYS POLICY at 10/1, Donald McCain with Harry Brown taking off 7lb, makes most appeal. He wears headgear for the first time, handles the ground, with a win from 3 on it and gets a trip he has won over.
The dangers are BRUCE BANNER at 33/1 (from a yard in form) and MR CAULFIELD at 14/1.
Each-way is the way in at 10/1, 4 places at 1/5.
OH JANEY at 13/2, S. R. B. Crawford and Brian Hughes, is the one I would be with. He has been tried on this ground once in 14 starts, and was placed and has a telling booking — upgrade from a 9% rider to 16%.
The dangers are KIENTZHEIM at 10/3 and REDEEMING LOVE at 7/1 (went close off this mark).
Each-way is the way in at 13/2, 2 places at 1/4.
Hard to be confident with this many unexposed, so the yard and the jockey are doing most of the talking.
LADY JETFIRE gets the vote at 5/4 for Jamie Snowden, ridden by Gavin Sheehan. Jamie Snowden is running at 35% over the past fortnight, and Gavin Sheehan is a 17% rider.
The dangers are LUTECE BORGET at 9/2 and BELLE NOIRE at 5/1.
Punchestown
FR GILLIGANSVOYGE at 33/1, John G Carr with Sarah Kavanagh taking off 7lb, is the one I keep coming back to. He has won here, handles the ground, with 2 wins from 13 on it and has a telling booking — a rider who has won on it before returns.
The dangers are WESTERN MODEL at 11/2 and DEADHEAT at 10/1 (a course winner).
Each-way is the way in at 33/1, 4 places at 1/5.
BUTTER FINGERS at 7/1, Ross O'Sullivan with Shane Markey taking off 7lb, looks the pick of these. He was only just denied off a similar mark, beaten 1.75L off 109 on 4 September, handles the ground, with a win from 2 on it and gets a trip he has won over.
The one worry is yard out of form.
RATTLEDELATCH rates higher on our figures but is passed over — won last time, and there is no comparable mark in this code to judge the rise.
Non-runners: Trasna Na Pairce.
Each-way is the way in at 7/1, 2 places at 1/4.
A tricky one to unpick — most of these have barely been seen, so the stable and the booking matter more than the figures.
GLENAGEARY gets the vote at 10/3 for W. P. Mullins, ridden by Sean O'Keeffe. W. P. Mullins is running at 27% over the past fortnight.
The dangers are SMOKIN ACES at 7/4 and OPHELIA HALL at 13/2.
ZITKALA SA at 66/1, E Sheehy with Kevin Healy taking off 7lb, just about gets the nod. He is back quickly, ran 5 days ago.
The one worry is has never won.
BLISSFUL BONITA rates higher on our figures but is passed over — won last time, and there is no comparable mark in this code to judge the rise.
Each-way is the way in at 66/1, 3 places at 1/5.
HILL OF BERRIES at 125/1, J P Dempsey and Keith Donoghue, looks the most likely of these. He was staying on at the finish last time.
Each-way is the way in at 125/1, 3 places at 1/5.
ALLO AL KHAWANEEJ at 4/1, C Byrnes and Philip Byrnes, is the one I want to be with. He was only just denied off a similar mark, beaten 1.5L off 108 (1lb higher than today) on 1 October, was staying on at the finish last time and wears headgear for the first time.
He was second of fifteen at Clonmel off 108 in early October beaten a length and a half, he drops a pound for it today, and he has won on this ground before.
INVER BAY rates higher on our figures but is passed over — won its last two off 94 and runs off 103 — up 9lb.
The dangers are SHIRZAN at 4/1 (on a falling mark) and BELLE THE TIGRESS at 7/2 (well handicapped).
BIRDIE CONWAY at 15/2, Noel Meade and Sam Ewing, looks the most likely of these. He has a telling booking — upgrade from a 4% rider to 10% on a horse out of form.
The main danger is SAPPHIRE JEWEL at 50/1 (in first-time headgear).
Each-way is the way in at 15/2, 3 places at 1/5.
SPANISH JOHN at 9/1, P A Fahy and Danny Mullins, is the one I want to be with. He ran a big race off much the same mark, beaten 1.5L off 86 on 23 October and handles the ground, with a win from 6 on it.
He was third at Sligo off 86 seventeen days ago beaten a length and a half, he runs off 87 today, a pound above the mark he won off at Ballinrobe, and Danny Mullins takes the ride.
The one worry is run style against this track.
The dangers are YOU DONE WELL at 28/1 (well handicapped) and THE DUCKS WALK at 11/1 (staying on last time).
Non-runners: Imbolc.
Each-way is the way in at 9/1, 5 places at 1/5.
Stratford
Hard to be confident with this many unexposed, so the yard and the jockey are doing most of the talking.
EMID'IO PEPE gets the vote at 4/6 for Dan Skelton, ridden by Harry Skelton. Dan Skelton is running at 22% over the past fortnight, and Harry Skelton is a 22% rider.
The main danger is ACT OF AUTHORITY at 11/8.
EASTERN FIRE at 2/5, Dan Skelton and Harry Skelton, looks the most likely of these. He was going well when coming down last time, wears headgear for the first time and comes from a yard in good heart at 22%.
The dangers are THUNDER THIEF at 80/1 (from a yard in form) and CRESCENDO LADY at 125/1 (in first-time headgear).
3 of these want to be on the pace, which usually means they go too quick and it falls to something coming from behind.
SUNSHINE DIAMOND at 13/8, Neil Mulholland and Sean Bowen, is the one I want to be with. He comes from a yard in good heart at 26%, has been tried on this ground once in 9 starts, and was placed and has a telling booking — upgrade from a 12% rider to 19%.
He was second over fences at Worcester on this ground on his chasing debut last month, he is 2lb lower today for it, and Sean Bowen takes the ride.
The one worry is long time without a win.
The dangers are MAJOR FORTUNE at 10/3 (from a yard in form) and LOUNGE LIZARD at 66/1.
PADRE ARTHUR at 10/3, Nicky Henderson and Nico de Boinville, looks the most likely of these. He comes from a yard in good heart at 29% and should be suited by the ground, placed once from 2 on it.
The one worry is long absence.
LUNE BRILLANTE rates higher on our figures but is passed over — won last time, and there is no comparable mark in this code to judge the rise.
Non-runners: Captain Connor.
SERVICE MINIMUM at 9/2, Dan Skelton and Harry Skelton, is the one I want to be with. He comes from a yard in good heart at 22%.
She won over hurdles at Newton Abbot in September and has been third in both starts since, and she goes over fences for the first time today for a yard running at better than one in five.
The dangers are SHE IS FOR ME BOYS at 4/1 (well handicapped) and BEST WOMEN at 11/1.
EXACTLY RIGHT at 14/1, Neil Mulholland with Harriet Tucker taking off 7lb, makes most appeal. He was only just denied off a similar mark, beaten 2.75L off 97 on 11 December 2025 and comes from a yard in good heart at 26%.
The risk is LORD VIRGINIA, the only confirmed front-runner here — front-runners at this track win 2.0 times their share of these races, and an uncontested lead could be decisive.
The main danger is RED RUBIO at 5/2 (went close off this mark).
Each-way is the way in at 14/1, 2 places at 1/4.
CROSSGALES KING at 11/1, Syd Hosie with Benjamin Macey taking off 5lb, is the one I would side with. He was staying on at the finish last time.
COUNT ADHEMAR rates higher on our figures but is passed over — won last time off 98 and runs off 103 — up 5lb.
Each-way is the way in at 11/1, 2 places at 1/4.