35 races across 5 meetings: Goodwood, Kempton, Listowel, Perth and Redcar.
Best Bets
beaten 0.25L off 82 in October 2025. Proven on the ground, Finishing well, and young enough to improve, Yard in form, Quick turnaround
4lb below its flat winning mark of 95 back in April 2025. Placed on the ground, Proven at the trip, Significant booking
3lb below its flat winning mark of 63 back in August 2025. beaten 1.75L off 58 in August 2025
won by 19L (~19lb), raised 11lb — 8lb in hand. beaten 2.25L off 145 (2lb higher than today) in January
Prices quoted are the opening show. The site is updated at 7pm each evening.
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Going watch
- Listowel: declared Good, 7mm of rain before the first — we are reading it as good to soft.
- Perth: declared Good, 18mm of rain before the first — we are reading it as soft.
- Redcar: declared Good To Firm, 14mm of rain before the first — we are reading it as good to soft.
Goodwood
Not much to go on here with these largely unexposed, so I am leaning on the yard and who is riding.
FASTIDYAH gets the vote at 3/1 for Michael Bell, ridden by Oisin Murphy. The market makes it favourite.
The dangers are SKYLAR at 3/1 and HENRIK IBSEN at 4/1.
PLAID at 13/8, James Fanshawe and Daniel Muscutt, is the one I would side with. He has already run to within touching distance off this sort of figure, beaten 3L off 92 on 21 August, was staying on at the finish last time and comes from a yard in good heart at 22%.
The dangers are NESTHORN at 9/2 (on a falling mark) and GREEN CAPE at 12/1.
STORM STAR at 4/1, Andrew Balding and Oisin Murphy, is the one I would be with. He races off a mark 4lb below the 95 it won from back in April 2025, should be suited by the ground, placed once from 2 on it and gets a trip he has won over.
The dangers are DARKNESS at 9/2 (a course winner) and JIMMY SPEAKING at 13/2 (on a falling mark).
RESPOND at 3/1, Andrew Balding and Oisin Murphy, is the one I make it. He was not given a hard time of it last time, handles the ground, with 2 wins from 5 on it and gets a trip he has won over.
The dangers are BOILING POINT at 10/3 (a course winner) and TREBLE TEE at 17/2.
CORAL COVE at 6/1, James Owen and Kieran Shoemark, gets the vote, and it is the kind of race we wait for. He won by 6.5 lengths and was raised only 3lb for it, leaving 8.4lb in hand, handles the ground, with a win from 1 on it and gets a trip he has won over.
two wins on the bounce, and up 3lb for the trouble — but a horse in form is a different animal to one trying to recapture it.
The one worry is wrong side of the draw.
The dangers are KODI BEAR LIGHT at 18/1 (staying on last time) and ZIGAZIG AH at 9/1 (went close off this mark).
Non-runners: Isabella of Aragon.
GLORYOUS at 6/1, Jamie Osborne and William Carson, is the one I would be with. He has already run to within touching distance off this sort of figure, beaten 0.25L off 82 on 2 October 2025, was staying on at the finish last time and comes from a yard in good heart at 23%.
The dangers are BINT AL DAAR at 18/1 (well handicapped) and KISSMEHONEYHONEY at 7/1.
BROSAY at 13/2, Charlie Pike and Rossa Ryan, is the one — exactly the sort of race we are looking for. He races off a mark 9lb below the 91 it won from back in September 2025, knows how to win round here and was staying on at the finish last time.
The one worry is wrong side of the draw and run style against this track.
The dangers are EM FOUR at 20/1 (went close off this mark) and MISTER BLUEBIRD at 14/1 (a course winner).
Non-runners: First Folio.
Kempton
A tricky one to unpick — most of these have barely been seen, so the stable and the booking matter more than the figures.
BIZZO FLAVIN gets the vote at 18/1 for Roger Teal, ridden by Jack Mitchell. Roger Teal is running at 43% over the past fortnight.
The dangers are KODIAC CITY at 4/6 and PLAYING CARD at 5/1.
A hard race to weigh up with most of these unexposed, so the yard and the booking count for more than the form book.
CINQ COINS gets the vote at 80/1 for Roger Teal, ridden by Joe Leavy. Roger Teal is running at 43% over the past fortnight.
The dangers are PURE CONCEPT at 1/3 and BERYOZKA at 4/1.
FREDA at 5/1, Pat Phelan with Ashley Lewis taking off 3lb, just about gets the nod. He has a course win to his name, handles the ground, with a win from 6 on it and gets a trip he has won over.
The dangers are NOTHING BUT LOVE at 6/1 (won with plenty in hand) and PROTECTRIX at 7/2.
A tricky one to unpick — most of these have barely been seen, so the stable and the booking matter more than the figures.
THREELITTLEANGELS gets the vote at 12/1 for Roger Teal, ridden by Joe Leavy. Roger Teal is running at 43% over the past fortnight.
The dangers are SHOW ME GLORY at 5/4 and DUCHESS OF IMMATIN at 10/3.
Non-runners: Asheyra.
BILL PLUMB at 12/1, Phil McEntee and Marco Ghiani, is the one I make it. He races off a mark 4lb below the 69 it won from back in October 2025, has won here and has the right side of the draw.
The risk is METHGAL, the only confirmed front-runner here — front-runners at this track win 3.0 times their share of these races, and an uncontested lead could be decisive.
The dangers are SPACEWOMAN at 9/2 (went close off this mark) and DONTSPOILASALE at 15/2 (well handicapped).
MIDNIGHT'S DREAM at 9/1, Joseph Parr and Luke Morris, is the bet, and this is the profile the whole thing is built around. He races off a mark 16lb below the 72 it won from back in April 2025, has already won around this track and was staying on at the finish last time.
The risk is ARARAT, the only confirmed front-runner here — front-runners at this track win 2.2 times their share of these races, and an uncontested lead could be decisive.
The dangers are VICTORY SOUND at 7/2 (went close off this mark) and CHAPMAN'S PEAK at 7/1 (a course winner).
ROCK IGUANA at 33/1, Jim & Suzi Best and Finley Marsh, just about gets the nod. He has had his mark eased — 2 of the last 4 starts on the wrong ground, mark down 2lb, handles the ground, with a win from 6 on it and has a telling booking — upgrade from a 0% rider to 12%.
The risk is PHYSIQUE, the only confirmed front-runner here — front-runners at this track win 2.2 times their share of these races, and an uncontested lead could be decisive.
The one worry is wrong side of the draw.
The dangers are CHALK MOUNTAIN at 7/1 (a course winner) and CROSSBAR at 7/2 (a course winner).
Non-runners: Wild Nature.
APHRODITE SPIRIT at 7/1, Roger Teal and Joe Leavy, is the one that stands out. He has had his mark eased — 2 of the last 4 starts on the wrong trip, back to 11f today, close to the 10f he wins at, mark down 2lb and was not given a hard time of it last time.
JOSEPH rates higher on our figures but is passed over — won last time off 68 and runs off 76 — up 8lb.
The dangers are THINTHREAD at 18/1 (on a falling mark) and WARDLAW at 6/4 (went close off this mark).
GHOST STORY at 11/1, John Butler and David Egan, gets the vote. He won by 4.25 lengths and was raised only 3lb for it, leaving 3.4lb in hand, should be suited by the ground, placed 3 times from 5 on it and has a telling booking — a rider who has won on it before returns.
The dangers are THE BAY WARRIOR at 9/1 (a course winner) and MAYWEDANCE at 16/1 (a course winner).
Listowel
EURO AGENT at 9/1, Gordon Elliott and Jack Kennedy, looks the one to be on. He was only just denied off a similar mark, beaten 1.75L off 102 on 31 August and has a telling booking — upgrade from a 11% rider to 17%.
The dangers are LOVE ME TENDER at 4/7 and TYSON FURY at 6/1 (went close off this mark).
Non-runners: John Gun.
COSMOS D'AINAY at 12/1, Gordon Elliott and Jack Kennedy, is the one I would side with. He should be suited by the ground, placed once from 2 on it and gets a trip he has won over.
He is in hot form, winning his last two, and arrives here with his confidence high.
The dangers are BARTHOLOMEW at 13/8 and BEIR BUA at 20/1.
3 of these want to be on the pace, which usually means they go too quick and it falls to something coming from behind.
GLIN ROAD BOY at 2/1, C Byrnes and Philip Byrnes, is the one that stands out. He was staying on at the finish last time and has a telling booking — upgrade from a 2% rider to 10%.
The dangers are BLUE REED at 10/1 (went close off this mark) and PAUL COLLINS at 22/1 (well handicapped).
SHE'LL BE KEPT at 12/1, Brian M McMahon and Phillip Enright, is the one I keep coming back to. He has been tried on this ground once in 15 starts, and was placed and gets a trip he has won over.
CAHER ROES DEN rates higher on our figures but is passed over — won last time off 102 and runs off 112 — up 10lb.
The dangers are COOLADDI at 9/1 (went close off this mark) and MILLSTREAM LADY at 16/1 (a course winner).
JESSE EVANS at 33/1, Noel Meade and Donagh Meyler, gets the vote. He has won here twice, handles the ground, with 7 wins from 23 on it and has a telling booking — a rider who has won on it before returns.
The one worry is weakened last time and yard out of form.
KING ALEXANDER rates higher on our figures but is passed over — won last time off 140 and runs off 148 — up 8lb.
The dangers are CONYERS HILL at 10/1 (staying on last time) and DOWNMEXICOWAY at 5/1 (staying on last time).
EMILY LOVE at 6/1, Gordon Elliott and Jack Kennedy, looks the one to be on. He should be suited by the ground, placed twice from 2 on it and gets a trip he has won over.
LA NOTE VERTE rates higher on our figures but is passed over — won last time, and there is no comparable mark in this code to judge the rise.
The dangers are LADY BLUEBIRD at 5/1 and MISSUS BEETON at 40/1.
Not much to go on here with these largely unexposed, so I am leaning on the yard and who is riding.
NEW GRANGE gets the vote at 5/4 for Thomas Cooper, ridden by Mr P W Mullins. Mr P W Mullins is a 30% rider, and the market makes it favourite.
The dangers are ROND POINT at 4/1 and YOUNG DORAN at 4/1.
Perth
3 of these want to be on the pace, which usually means they go too quick and it falls to something coming from behind.
BOLD LIGHT at 11/1, Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore with Gregor Walkingshaw taking off 10lb, is the bet, and this is the profile the whole thing is built around. He races off a mark 9lb below the 123 it won from back in March 2025, handles the ground, with a win from 4 on it and gets a trip he has won over.
SUMMERGROUNDS rates higher on our figures but is passed over on the ground — 1 run on soft or heavy, never won, never placed — and today is soft.
The dangers are BEL AMIGO at 22/1 (well handicapped) and MICKS JET at 40/1.
FOLLOW CHARLIE at 9/2, R. Mike Smith with Murray Dodd taking off 5lb, is the one that stands out. He has already won round this track 3 times, handles the ground, with a win from 15 on it and gets a trip he has won over.
PURE GOLD rates higher on our figures but is passed over on the ground — 2 runs on soft or heavy, never won, never placed — and today is soft.
3 of these want to be on the pace, which usually means they go too quick and it falls to something coming from behind.
ETALON at 8/1, Dan Skelton and Harry Skelton, makes most appeal. He won by 19 lengths and was raised only 11lb for it, leaving 8lb in hand and has a course win to his name.
The one worry is off the track a while.
The dangers are CAUGHTINYOURTRANCE at 15/2 (went close off this mark) and WALK ON QUEST at 14/1 (went close off this mark).
BURGUNDY MAN at 25/1, R. Mike Smith and Toby Wynne, is the one I keep coming back to. He races off a mark 11lb below the 87 it won from back in October 2025 and knows how to win round here.
DELGANY SECOND NOW rates higher on our figures but is passed over — won its last three — a 3-timer, and the handicapper has had 3 goes at it.
The main danger is HAWKSEYE VIEW at 28/1 (went close off this mark).
JUDICIAL REVIEW at 10/1, James Moffatt and Danny McMenamin, is the one that stands out. He handles the ground, with 2 wins from 9 on it and has a telling booking — a rider who has won on it before returns, upgrade from a 5% rider to 14%.
The one worry is weakened last time.
FAIRLY FULLING rates higher on our figures but is passed over — won last time off 84 and runs off 90 — up 6lb.
Redcar
ASTRAL CALLING at 3/1, K. R. Burke with Jack Nicholls taking off 3lb, just about gets the nod. He was only just denied off a similar mark, beaten 1L off 49 on 24 August and was staying on at the finish last time.
The risk is DAKOTA BRAVE, the only confirmed front-runner here — front-runners at this track win 2.8 times their share of these races, and an uncontested lead could be decisive.
The one worry is run style against this track.
The dangers are SON OF A FISH at 9/4 (went close off this mark) and HOPE OF ACKLAM at 9/2.
FLOWER YOUMZAIN at 5/1, Kevin Ryan and Kevin Stott, looks the one to be on. He drops in grade after running 3rd in a Class 4, beaten 2L, drops to Class 5 and has a telling booking — upgrade from a 7% rider to 14%.
The risk is CHEEKY CHESCA, the only confirmed front-runner here — front-runners at this track win 2.3 times their share of these races, and an uncontested lead could be decisive.
The dangers are LAIRY MARY at 9/1 (went close off this mark) and WONDERVISION at 4/1.
A hard race to weigh up with most of these unexposed, so the yard and the booking count for more than the form book.
THE CAN CAN MAN gets the vote at 9/2 for William Haggas, ridden by Cieren Fallon. William Haggas is running at 19% over the past fortnight.
The dangers are GOLDEN SOUK at evn and SPEYSIDE at 9/2.
Little to separate them on form because most are unexposed, so it comes down to the yard and the booking.
POINTED gets the vote at 9/4 for Jack Channon, ridden by George Bass. The market makes it favourite.
The dangers are SHEIKHNSHAH at 9/4 and PANAME at 9/2.
POET'S DAWN at 16/1, Tim Easterby and Sean Kirrane, just about gets the nod. He has already won around this track and was staying on at the finish last time.
The one worry is wrong side of the draw.
The dangers are DOMINATION at 15/2 (went close off this mark) and PERCY'S DAYDREAM at 7/1 (went close off this mark).
GUERNSEY LADY at 5/1, David Evans and P. J. McDonald, just about gets the nod. He has had 2 of his last 4 starts on the wrong ground and his mark is 4lb lower for it, should be suited by the ground, placed once from 2 on it and gets a trip he has won over.
SERGEANT MAYER rates higher on our figures but is passed over — won its last two off 56 and runs off 63 — up 7lb.
The dangers are TEES AGGREGATES at 14/1 (well handicapped) and EMPEROR'S SON at 5/1 (went close off this mark).
SANDRET at 12/1, Sam England with Liam Baxter taking off 3lb, makes most appeal. He races off a mark 3lb below the 63 it won from back in August 2025, is a twice-winner over this course and comes from a yard in good heart at 29%.
The risk is KING OF WAR, the only confirmed front-runner here — front-runners at this track win 2.8 times their share of these races, and an uncontested lead could be decisive.
The one worry is weakened last time.
The dangers are SOUL WARRIOR at 9/1 (a course winner) and NIGHT EMPEROR at 10/3 (a course winner).