48 races across 6 meetings: Bath, Chester, Doncaster, Leopardstown, Lingfield and Musselburgh.
Best Bets
won by 1.5L (~4.5lb), raised 1lb — 3.5lb in hand. 2lb below its flat winning mark of 91 back in June 2025
9lb below its flat winning mark of 62 back in July 2025. beaten 1.75L off 53 in July
beaten 0.25L off 73 in March. Placed on the ground, Proven at the trip, Course winner, Significant booking
6lb below its flat winning mark of 55 back in August 2025. beaten 0.5L off 50 (1lb higher than today) in July
won by 12L (~9lb), raised 6lb — 3lb in hand. Placed on the ground, Proven at the trip, Course winner, Significant booking
Prices quoted are the opening show. The site is updated at 7pm each evening.
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Going watch
- Musselburgh: declared Good, 6mm of rain before the first — we are reading it as good to soft.
Bath
ARUNDEL at 2/1, Ed Dunlop and Mr Henry Callan, is the one that stands out. He was only just denied off a similar mark, beaten 0.5L off 65 on 15 August 2025 and was not given a hard time of it last time.
The dangers are THE PUG at 9/1 (well handicapped) and COGITAL at 18/1 (a course winner).
SOUL OF APPIN at 14/1, Brian Meehan and Jack Callan, looks the one to be on. He comes from a yard in good heart at 27%.
The dangers are DIALSTONE at 8/11 and MATHOURA at 12/1.
A hard race to weigh up with most of these unexposed, so the yard and the booking count for more than the form book.
MULVANEY'S RETURN gets the vote at 25/1 for Brian Meehan, ridden by Liam Wright. Brian Meehan is running at 27% over the past fortnight.
The dangers are BAARBERINI at 13/8 and ABLE TASMAN at 7/2.
AMBER OCEAN at 7/2, Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole and Jack Doughty, looks the most likely of these. He went close off this sort of rating, beaten 0.75L off 74 on 29 July, should be suited by the ground and gets a trip he has won over.
PJ'S CORNER rates higher on our figures but is passed over — won its last two off 66 and runs off 73 — up 7lb.
The dangers are DOWMAN at 12/1 (went close off this mark) and SOUTH WEST at 9/1 (won with plenty in hand).
CHERRY COLA at 11/1, Sheena West with Rose Dawes taking off 5lb, is the one I would be with. He has already won around this track and was staying on at the finish last time.
The one worry is long time without a win.
The dangers are FRAM CASTLE at 15/8 (a course winner) and CLOUDY ROSE at 17/2 (well handicapped).
SOME NIGHTMARE at 4/1, John O'Shea with Alexandra Egan taking off 7lb, is the bet, and this is the profile the whole thing is built around. He races off a mark 6lb below the 55 it won from back in August 2025, drops in grade after running 2nd in a Class 5, beaten 0.75L, drops to Class 6 and was staying on at the finish last time.
The one worry is wrong side of the draw.
The dangers are BE AN ANGEL at 10/3 (well handicapped) and ALSHIMALI at 5/1 (went close off this mark).
ANGEL'S CALL at 16/1, Nikki Evans and Kieran O'Neill, just about gets the nod. He ran a big race off much the same mark, beaten 2.5L off 51 (1lb higher than today) on 22 September 2025, handles the ground, with a win from 6 on it and gets a trip he has won over.
The dangers are NAMMOS at 10/1 (a course winner) and ARVANA BELLE at 4/1 (went close off this mark).
Non-runners: Hopjes.
FREEDOM BAY at 13/2, Zoe Hawkins and Kieran O'Neill, just about gets the nod. He has won here, handles the ground, with a win from 2 on it and gets a trip he has won over.
The dangers are TYPEFACE at 4/1 (went close off this mark) and EYE OF THE WATER at 20/1 (a course winner).
Chester
DUBAI HONOUR at 8/11, William Haggas and Cieren Fallon, is the one I make it. He races off a mark 1lb below the 118 it won off and comes from a yard in good heart at 24%.
The dangers are ULURU at 33/1 (well handicapped) and MASTER VINTNER at 22/1.
DANCING IN PARIS at 12/1, Ian Williams and Cieren Fallon, is the one that stands out. He has already run to within touching distance off this sort of figure, beaten 0.5L off 92 on 2 August 2025 and won last time out.
The dangers are GENTLE WARRIOR at 33/1 (a course winner) and HOLY SEE at 11/2 (went close off this mark).
A hard race to weigh up with most of these unexposed, so the yard and the booking count for more than the form book.
NATIONAL PRIDE gets the vote at 2/1 for William Haggas, ridden by Cieren Fallon. William Haggas is running at 24% over the past fortnight.
The dangers are NIGHT STAR at 6/5 and REGENCY ROYAL at 4/1.
ROTELLE at 11/2, Charlie Fellowes and Kaiya Fraser, is the one I make it. He went close off this sort of rating, beaten 0.75L off 78 on 28 August, should be suited by the ground and gets a trip he has won over.
MAY BEE IN PROFIT rates higher on our figures but is passed over — won last time off 70 and runs off 75 — up 5lb.
The dangers are PAPER VIEW at 5/1 (went close off this mark) and UNDERDOG at 12/1 (from a yard in form).
IMPARTIALITY at 5/1, Phillip Makin and Shane Gray, is the one that stands out. He has already won around this track and was staying on at the finish last time.
The one worry is run style against this track.
The dangers are BOX TO BOX at 9/2 (a course winner) and SPIORADALTA at 11/1 (a course winner).
VIDMIYR at 8/1, Jennie Candlish and Hector Crouch, is the one that stands out. He won by 4 lengths and was raised only 4lb for it, leaving 4lb in hand, should be suited by the ground and gets a trip he has won over.
The dangers are ZERMATT STAR at 4/1 (on a falling mark) and WALSINGHAM at 9/1 (well handicapped).
3 of these want to be on the pace, which usually means they go too quick and it falls to something coming from behind.
KINDEST NATION at 25/1, Hugo Palmer and Oisin Orr, is the one I would side with. He races off a mark 3lb below the 73 it won from back in November 2025, knows how to win round here and is back quickly, ran 1 day ago.
The one worry is run style against this track.
The dangers are MIDNIGHT STRIKE at 10/1 (well handicapped) and CRAZEE ICON at 9/4 (a course winner).
HAVEYOUMISSEDME at 6/1, Iain Jardine and Danny McMenamin, makes most appeal. He has won here, should be suited by the ground, placed once from 5 on it and gets a trip he has won over.
The dangers are MICK COLLINS at 22/1 (well handicapped) and NIBRAS GOLD at 3/1 (a course winner).
Doncaster
Little to separate them on form because most are unexposed, so it comes down to the yard and the booking.
AL JABBAR gets the vote at 11/4 for Charlie Appleby, ridden by Billy Loughnane. Charlie Appleby is running at 35% over the past fortnight, and Billy Loughnane is a 16% rider.
The dangers are HMAS PERTH at 10/3 and GAME CHARACTER at 11/2.
A tricky one to unpick — most of these have barely been seen, so the stable and the booking matter more than the figures.
DESERT CASTLE gets the vote at 5/6 for Charlie Appleby, ridden by Billy Loughnane. Charlie Appleby is running at 35% over the past fortnight, and Billy Loughnane is a 16% rider.
The dangers are SERGEI DIAGHILEV at 11/2 and GENTLE HURRICANE at 6/1.
JEL PEPPER at 40/1, Stuart Williams and Marco Ghiani, is the one I want to be on here. He races off a mark 9lb below the 99 it won from back in October 2025, was staying on at the finish last time and comes from a yard in good heart at 24%.
The dangers are BADRI at 22/1 (went close off this mark) and DUBAI BLING at 25/1 (went close off this mark).
Non-runners: Trefor.
3 of these want to be on the pace, which usually means they go too quick and it falls to something coming from behind.
QIRAT at 13/2, Ralph Beckett and Silvestre De Sousa, looks the one to be on. He went close off this sort of rating, beaten 2.5L off 115 (2lb higher than today) on 23 August 2025, handles the ground, with 3 wins from 6 on it and gets a trip he has won over.
The dangers are MORE THUNDER at 5/4 (went close off this mark) and WITNESS STAND at 20/1 (went close off this mark).
CHRISTMAS DAY at 5/2, A P O'Brien and Ronan Whelan, is the one I make it. He was only just denied off a similar mark, beaten 1.75L off 118 on 28 June, should be suited by the ground, placed 3 times from 3 on it and has a telling booking — a rider who has won on it before returns.
The dangers are AMELIA EARHART at 33/1 (went close off this mark) and GOLDEN STORY at 50/1 (a course winner).
BULLET POINT at 7/1, William Haggas and Tom Marquand, makes most appeal. He has already run to within touching distance off this sort of figure, beaten 2.5L off 101 on 20 August, was staying on at the finish last time and comes from a yard in good heart at 24%.
The dangers are SCOVILLE at 8/1 (went close off this mark) and EBT'S GUARD at 16/1 (went close off this mark).
TOUCH THE MOON is the only confirmed front-runner, and he is not our selection, though an uncontested lead counts for less here than it does elsewhere.
FLYING FRONTIER at 20/1, James Tate and Tom Marquand, is the bet, and this is the profile the whole thing is built around. He races off a mark 5lb below the 95 it won from back in July 2025 and comes from a yard in good heart at 27%.
CITY OF POETS rates higher on our figures but is passed over — won last time off 92 and runs off 97 — up 5lb.
The dangers are THUNDER RUN at 4/1 (staying on last time) and TOUCH THE MOON at 6/1 (went close off this mark).
Non-runners: Old Harrovian.
Leopardstown
IBELIEVEICANFLY at 3/1, A P O'Brien and Ryan Moore, looks the one to be on. He should be suited by the ground, placed once from 2 on it and gets a trip he has won over.
APOLLO'S COMET rates higher on our figures but is passed over — won last time, and there is no comparable mark in this code to judge the rise.
The dangers are LADY PATRONA at 50/1 (went close off this mark) and SNOWING at 66/1 (staying on last time).
VAFORTINO at 8/1, Charlie Fellowes and James Doyle, looks the most likely of these. He has already won around this track and was staying on at the finish last time.
The one worry is long time without a win.
The dangers are DORSET at 22/1 (a course winner) and BENEVENTO at 9/1 (won last time).
Non-runners: Tokenomics.
PIKACHU at 40/1, Charlie Johnston and David Egan, is the one — exactly the sort of race we are looking for. He won by 12 lengths and escapes a penalty, leaving 18lb in hand, should be suited by the ground, placed once from 2 on it and gets a trip he has won over.
The one worry is wrong side of the draw.
QUEST FOR STARS rates higher on our figures but is passed over — won its last three — a 3-timer, and the handicapper has had 3 goes at it.
The dangers are AIX LA CHAPELLE at 14/1 and NOLA SOUL at 7/1 (a course winner).
GOODIE TWO SHOES at 16/1, Joseph Patrick O'Brien and Declan McDonogh, just about gets the nod. He ran a big race off much the same mark, beaten 1.5L off 108 on 8 July and won last time out.
The dangers are ARABIAN CROWN at 14/1 (staying on last time) and SONS AND LOVERS at 15/2 (a course winner).
FALLEN ANGEL is the only confirmed front-runner, and he is not our selection — and this is a track where that matters: front-runners here win 3.4 times their share of these races. An uncontested lead could be decisive, which is the risk to ours.
TRUE LOVE at 9/1, A P O'Brien and Pierre-Charles Boudot, looks the most likely of these. He won by 5 lengths and was raised only 9lb for it, leaving 3.5lb in hand and has won here.
The one worry is wrong side of the draw.
The dangers are FALLEN ANGEL at 10/1 (a course winner) and PRECISE at 9/4 (went close off this mark).
FAIYUM is the only confirmed front-runner, and he is not our selection — and this is a track where that matters: front-runners here win 3.4 times their share of these races. An uncontested lead could be decisive, which is the risk to ours.
COWARDOFTHECOUNTY at 28/1, Joseph Patrick O'Brien and Declan McDonogh, looks the pick of these. He won by 2 lengths and was raised only 1lb for it, leaving 3lb in hand and was staying on at the finish last time.
The dangers are QUDDWAH at 3/1 (went close off this mark) and FAIYUM at 11/2 (won with plenty in hand).
HAWK MOUNTAIN at 25/1, A P O'Brien and Pierre-Charles Boudot, looks the pick of these. He has already run to within touching distance off this sort of figure, beaten 0.75L off 116 on 31 May, handles the ground, with a win from 4 on it and has a telling booking — upgrade from a 10% rider to 18%.
The dangers are WIMBLEDON HAWKEYE at 22/1 (went close off this mark) and A BOY NAMED SUSIE at 8/1 (well handicapped).
DIAMOND EXCHANGE at 28/1, Mrs John Harrington with Keithen Kennedy taking off 5lb, looks the one to be on. He knows how to win round here and was not given a hard time of it last time.
The dangers are TRUTH BE TOLD at 10/1 (a course winner) and PORT OF SPAIN at 9/1 (went close off this mark).
3 of these want to be on the pace, which usually means they go too quick and it falls to something coming from behind.
KILLASHEE WARRIOR at 18/1, Eddie & Patrick Harty and Oisin Murphy, looks the pick of these. He has the right side of the draw, should be suited by the ground and gets a trip he has won over.
The dangers are MALLAVELLY at 25/1 (a course winner) and AVIATRICE at 8/1 (well handicapped).
Lingfield
AFFETTUOSO at 2/5, Roger Varian and Ray Dawson, just about gets the nod. He was not given a hard time of it last time and was placed on its only start on this ground.
The dangers are ASTRID at 5/1 and ONEINTHEWELL at 15/2 (staying on last time).
HEBRIDEAN NOMAD at 15/2, Andrew Balding with Charlie Tucker taking off 7lb, looks the pick of these. He has a course win to his name, handles the ground, with 2 wins from 13 on it and gets a trip he has won over.
The dangers are WHITE STORM at 25/1 (not hard ridden last time) and CAPTAIN FOX at 11/1 (a course winner).
MUY MUY LOCO at 8/1, Simon Dow and Harry Davies, makes most appeal. He is a twice-winner over this course and comes from a yard in good heart at 23%.
The one worry is run style against this track.
The dangers are AMBER HONEY at 12/1 (well handicapped) and MOUNT MOGAN at 13/2 (a course winner).
Non-runners: Victory Sound.
POETIC GRACE is the only confirmed front-runner, and he is not our selection, at a track where making the running is worth a little (front-runners win 2.0 times their share).
YAZOO at 8/11, Richard Spencer and George Wood, looks the one to be on. He won by 2 lengths and escapes a penalty, leaving 3lb in hand and comes from a yard in good heart at 27%.
The one worry is wrong side of the draw.
The dangers are HENFIELD at 14/1 (a course winner) and ERNIE MCCREW at 17/2 (went close off this mark).
REGAL ENVOY at 9/1, William Knight and Taylor Fisher, is the one I keep coming back to. He won by 1.5 lengths and was raised only 1lb for it, leaving 3.5lb in hand and has already won around this track.
The dangers are LAYLA LIZ at 14/1 (in first-time headgear) and SPARTAN ARROW at 14/1 (well handicapped).
QUICK QUASAR is the only confirmed front-runner, and he is not our selection, at a track where making the running is worth a little (front-runners win 2.0 times their share).
ORANGE EMPEROR at 7/2, James Fanshawe with Ashley Lewis taking off 3lb, just about gets the nod. He drops in grade after running 2nd in a Class 5, beaten 0.75L, drops to Class 6 and was not given a hard time of it last time.
The one worry is has never won.
ANGELS' SHARE rates higher on our figures but is passed over — won last time off 64 and runs off 68 — up 4lb.
The dangers are QUICK QUASAR at 9/1 (won with plenty in hand) and DARK MANDATE at 7/1 (went close off this mark).
ROYAL COUNTY GLORY at 2/1, Jack Jones and George Wood, looks the most likely of these. He knows how to win round here, handles the ground, with 2 wins from 8 on it and gets a trip he has won over.
The dangers are HONKY TONK GIRL at 6/1 (staying on last time) and CREDIT FORGEDD IT at 10/3 (went close off this mark).
Non-runners: Bessie Wallis.
POST RIDER at 12/1, Oliver Cole with Ashley Lewis taking off 3lb, is the one I make it. He races off a mark 3lb below the 71 it won from back in October 2025, comes from a yard in good heart at 20% and is back quickly, ran 2 days ago.
The one worry is wrong side of the draw.
The dangers are ESPANITA at 6/1 (went close off this mark) and SUNSHINE AND ROSES at 10/1 (went close off this mark).
WALKING ON CLOUDS is the only confirmed front-runner, and he is not our selection — and this is a track where that matters: front-runners here win 2.5 times their share of these races. An uncontested lead could be decisive, which is the risk to ours.
MART at 5/1, D Donovan with Ashley Lewis taking off 3lb, is the one — exactly the sort of race we are looking for. He races off a mark 19lb below the 70 it won from back in May 2025, is a 3 times-winner over this course and is back quickly, ran 2 days ago.
The dangers are HENRY TUDOR at 10/1 (went close off this mark) and ALASHOS at 9/1 (a course winner).
Musselburgh
THATS MY BOY LUKE at 7/2, Tim Easterby with Jake Dickson taking off 3lb, is the bet, and this is the profile the whole thing is built around. He races off a mark 10lb below the 63 it won from back in August 2025, was staying on at the finish last time and runs a style that suits this track.
The dangers are APPROACHING DAWN at 13/2 (a course winner) and EAGLES DREAM at 16/1 (from a yard in form).
Little to separate them on form because most are unexposed, so it comes down to the yard and the booking.
VEGASMILE gets the vote at 9/2 for K. R. Burke, ridden by Sam James. K. R. Burke is running at 26% over the past fortnight.
The dangers are EXTRAGALACTIC at 8/11 and SHOWCASING GLORY at 8/1.
3 of these want to be on the pace, which usually means they go too quick and it falls to something coming from behind.
ROYAL STRIKE at 3/1, K. R. Burke and Pierre-Louis Jamin, is the one I would side with. He drops in grade after running 2nd in a Class 4, beaten 2.25L, drops to Class 5 and comes from a yard in good heart at 26%.
The one worry is wrong side of the draw.
BELLATINA rates higher on our figures but is passed over — won last time off 66 and runs off 74 — up 8lb.
The dangers are MOONLIGHT TANGO at 22/1 and DESERT SMOKE at 7/1 (in first-time headgear).
3 of these want to be on the pace, which usually means they go too quick and it falls to something coming from behind.
GOOD MORNING ALEX at 22/1, David & Nicola Barron and William Pyle, is the one — exactly the sort of race we are looking for. He races off a mark 7lb below the 79 it won from back in April 2025, handles the ground, with a win from 3 on it and gets a trip he has won over.
The dangers are MAYOR OF MAGHERA at 22/1 (a course winner) and STYLE OF LIFE at 5/1 (went close off this mark).
COCONUT BAY is the only confirmed front-runner, at a track where making the running is worth a little (front-runners win 2.0 times their share).
COCONUT BAY at 10/1, Tristan Davidson and Rowan Scott, is the one I want to be on here. He races off a mark 9lb below the 62 it won from back in July 2025 and comes from a yard in good heart at 33%.
The dangers are CAROLUS MAGNUS at 7/1 (a course winner) and JESMOND DAWN at 12/1 (went close off this mark).
TROJAN SUN at 15/2, Jim Goldie with Amie Waugh taking off 3lb, is the one that stands out. He won by 12 lengths and was raised only 6lb for it, leaving 3lb in hand and is a 4 times-winner over this course.
The dangers are FAST FRED at 7/2 (a course winner) and SIMPLE STAR at 40/1 (a course winner).
ROYAL DUKE at 13/2, R Mike Smith with Cian Horgan taking off 5lb, is the one I want to be on here. He races off a mark 8lb below the 57 it won from back in August 2025 and has won here twice.
The one worry is run style against this track.
The dangers are SIXCOR at 10/1 (a course winner) and SKI ANGEL at 11/2 (a course winner).